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2024-12-13 04:37:53

Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.Morgan Stanley published a research report that Jingdong Logistics management predicted that the net profit growth in FY 2024 would increase by 49% year-on-year, far exceeding the bank's expected 30% increase. As for the profit growth forecast for next year, it is 9% year-on-year. The bank also believes that the acquisition of Jingdong Logistics across the remaining rights and interests of Express is positive and is expected to have further synergy. Morgan Stanley set the target price of H shares of Jingdong Logistics at HK$ 13.1, giving it a rating of "keeping pace with the market".China's 10-year government bond yield fell by 5 basis points to 1.855%, a record low.


Gaode Infrared sued six former employees and their new owners for infringing on business secrets. The other company: Gaode Infrared announced that there were "false records and false statements". On the evening of December 5, Gaode Infrared announced that the company filed a civil lawsuit against Zhejiang Juexin Microelectronics Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as Juexin Company), Mao Jianhong and six former employees for infringing on the company's business secrets, asking the defendant to pay 200 million yuan in economic losses and other things. On December 6th and 9th, Juexin Company issued statements on the announcement of Gaode Infrared on WeChat WeChat official account "Juexin Microelectronics", claiming that there were "false records, false statements, misleading statements or major omissions" in the above announcement of Gaode Infrared. (per warp net)Xinjiang's revitalization plate rose in a short period of time, Xinjiang Jiaojian had a daily limit, Qingsong Jianhua, Bona Film and Friendship Group had previously closed the board, the western animal husbandry rose by more than 10%, and the western construction, Beixin Road and Bridge, Tianshun shares, Beiken Energy and Guotong shares followed suit.Gaode Infrared sued six former employees and their new owners for infringing on business secrets. The other company: Gaode Infrared announced that there were "false records and false statements". On the evening of December 5, Gaode Infrared announced that the company filed a civil lawsuit against Zhejiang Juexin Microelectronics Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as Juexin Company), Mao Jianhong and six former employees for infringing on the company's business secrets, asking the defendant to pay 200 million yuan in economic losses and other things. On December 6th and 9th, Juexin Company issued statements on the announcement of Gaode Infrared on WeChat WeChat official account "Juexin Microelectronics", claiming that there were "false records, false statements, misleading statements or major omissions" in the above announcement of Gaode Infrared. (per warp net)


World Bank: Kenya's growth forecast for 2024 is lowered to 4.7% due to financial challenges.Reserve Bank of Australia: Potential inflation is still too high. There is still uncertainty about the prospects. The Committee is increasingly convinced that inflationary pressure is decreasing with the recent forecast, but the risk still exists. The Committee will continue to rely on data and changing risk assessments to guide its decision-making. Although the potential inflation is still at a high level, other recent economic activity data are mixed, but overall, November data is weaker than expected.Saudi Arabia said that Israel's attack on Syria violated international law.

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